This week’s Premier League fixtures are in the post, and they’re set to deliver a smashing selection of value bets, all bundled together for a sensational acca opportunity.
We’ve picked out four of the best value Premier League odds this week – two for Tuesday and two for Wednesday – and we think every selection is offering exceptionally generous returns.
All in all, they add up to 29.62/1 odds from bet365, meaning a simple £10 bet could land you £306.25.
If you ask us, this lot offers the best value from the mid-week Premier League fixtures.
| Bet | Odds |
|---|---|
| Nottingham Forrest vs Manchester United BTTS | 3/4 |
| Wolverhampton vs West Ham Under 2.5 Goals | 4/6 |
| Manchester City to beat Leicester City To Nil | 11/10 |
| Liverpool vs Everton To Draw | 4/1 |
| Nottingham Forrest vs Manchester United BTTS Wolverhampton vs West Ham Under 2.5 Goals Manchester City to beat Leicester City To Nil Liverpool vs Everton To Draw | 29.62/1 |
Want to know why we think the bookies have got it wrong? Here’s the scoop.
Bet 1: Nottingham Forrest vs Manchester United Both Teams To Score – 3/4 Odds
Both Manchester United and Nottingham Forest have found the back of the net in 8 out of their last 10 matches, and with the odds for BTTS just above evens, we’re seeing clear value.
The stats give both teams an 80% chance to score, but the bookies have priced them at 57.1%, that’s a discrepancy of around 22.9%.
On top of that, Manchester United have been in solid form recently, smashing Real Sociedad 5-2 on aggregate and beating Leicester City 3-0.
Forest haven’t failed to score in a losing match since January. Given all of this, we reckon the true likelihood of both teams scoring is closer to 90%, meaning we believe the odds on offer represent a real value gap of over 30%.
Bet 2: Wolverhampton vs West Ham Under 2.5 Goals – 4/6 Odds
Under goals markets often get overlooked, and this one’s a real gem.
Four of West Ham’s last five games have seen two or fewer goals, and three of Wolves’ last five have followed suit.
Even at 4/6 odds, implying a 60% chance, we reckon the bookies have got this one wrong.
The stats alone suggest a 70%+ likelihood that the total goals will stay under three.
Given West Ham’s underwhelming 33 goals this season and Wolves barely edging past a struggling Southampton, it’s tough to see either side having the attacking strength to push this game into a high-scoring affair.
Bet 3: Manchester City to Beat Leicester City to Nil – 11/10 Odds
Let’s be honest, there’s nothing to suggest Leicester can pull off the upset against Man City this Wednesday.
With just 17 points and facing relegation, they’re in serious trouble, and while Man City haven’t had a perfect season, there’s a huge gap between 19th and 5th place.
Not to mention City’s solid recent FA Cup performance against Bournemouth.
Plus, The Foxes have lost all of their last five games without a single goal, which is painful to watch.
We’re pretty confident Manchester City will keep their momentum going, and we reckon their chances of winning to nil are far better than the 11/10 (47.6% implied probability) the bookies are offering.
Bet 4: Liverpool vs Everton to Draw – 4/1 Odds
The Toffees have become masters of keeping their opponents stuck to one point in recent months, with five of their last six matches ending in a stalemate.
One of those was the Merseyside derby, which ended in a 2-2 thriller back in February.
Since then, not much has changed – Everton are still frustrating top teams and pushing them to the limit.
Yet the bookies have them at 4/1 odds for a draw, which is just a 20% implied probability.
Why? Well, the markets tend to be influenced by betting patterns, and few want to back a boring draw in a derby.
But that doesn’t mean it’s unlikely – in fact, we’d say a draw is two or even three times more likely than the bookies are suggesting.
It might not be the most exciting market, but it’s definitely the most valuable one for this fixture.
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